Federal Elections Analysis

Analysis on your screen.

Content, forecasts, results, and more, all in one place.

Forecast desk

Core models

Models built and maintained by gamerdoglover.

Live Senate -- -- -- D / -- R -- Live House -- -- -- D / -- R -- House forecast will be reworked in a future update. Current numbers are interim. Live 2028 President -- -- D / -- R -- Live Governors -- -- D races / -- R races --
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Watchlist

Key races to watch

Sorted by the closest current win chances. Rows show the seat or state, color-coded win probability, and color-coded projected margin.

Closest Senate races
Closest House districts

House forecast is interim and scheduled for a future rework.

Closest Governor races
2028 matchup leaders
Federal Elections Analysis

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